{"id":9920,"date":"2022-03-02T13:41:13","date_gmt":"2022-03-02T12:41:13","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=9920"},"modified":"2022-03-04T12:06:55","modified_gmt":"2022-03-04T11:06:55","slug":"tieng-viet-dong-co-kinh-te-cua-putin-khi-xam-luoc-ukraine-la-gi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/en\/2022\/03\/02\/tieng-viet-dong-co-kinh-te-cua-putin-khi-xam-luoc-ukraine-la-gi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Putin khi x\u00e2m l\u01b0\u1ee3c Ukraine l\u00e0 g\u00ec?"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Putin \u1edf Ukraine t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o? Nga c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Ukraine kh\u00f4ng? Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 chuy\u00ean gia v\u1ec1 Nga Anders Aslund gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hung h\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Putin.<\/em><\/strong><\/div>\n<\/div>\n
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Anders Aslund (70 tu\u1ed5i) l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u1ea1i T\u00e2y D\u01b0\u01a1ng, m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec7n nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf \u1edf Washington. Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf ng\u01b0\u1eddi Th\u1ee5y \u0110i\u1ec3n n\u00e0y t\u1eebng l\u00e0 c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n cho ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Nga d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Boris Yeltsin, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi Jeffrey Sachs v\u00e0 David Lipton, v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1990. \u00d4ng \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m vi\u1ec7c v\u1edbi Ph\u00f3 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a \u1ee6y ban EU, Valdis Dombrovskis, trong th\u1eddi gian \u00f4ng n\u00e0y l\u00e0m Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Latvia. Aslund \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng chuy\u00ean gia am hi\u1ec3u nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a Nga.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Th\u01b0a \u00f4ng Aslund, li\u1ec7u t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Nga Putin c\u00f3 kham n\u1ed5i cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng v\u00e0o Ukraine kh\u00f4ng? Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, s\u1ef1 th\u00f4n t\u00ednh Crimea \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng m\u1ea1o hi\u1ec3m v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Trong m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian d\u00e0i, Putin lu\u00f4n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ec3 \u00fd v\u1ec1 chuy\u1ec7n ti\u1ec1n nong. \u0110\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ed9c v\u00e0 tri\u1ec7t ti\u00eau nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1i ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1n nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ec1n. V\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00f3ng Crimea, \u00f4ng ta \u0111\u00e3 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng v\u1edbi t\u1ea7m v\u00f3c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n kh\u00e1c: n\u01b0\u1edbc Nga ti\u00eau t\u1ed1n m\u1ed7i n\u0103m 5 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4la M\u1ef9, trong \u0111\u00f3 hai t\u1ef7 d\u00e0nh cho c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng, \u1edf \u0111\u00f3 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng th\u1ea3m h\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e2u ra?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c. Khi chi\u1ebfm Donbass, ch\u00fang t\u00f4i d\u1ef1a v\u00e0o s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a c\u01a1 quan t\u00ecnh b\u00e1o qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i Ukraine, s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y kh\u00e1 nghi\u00eam ch\u1ec9nh. B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ukraine Alexei Reznikov \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp \u0111\u1ebfn con s\u1ed1 4 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4la m\u1ed9t n\u0103m.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Putin ph\u1ea3i huy \u0111\u1ed9ng bao nhi\u00eau ti\u1ec1n cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn \u1edf Ukraine?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Nh\u1eefng g\u00ec Putin \u0111ang l\u00e0m \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y r\u1ea5t t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ph\u1ea3i c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c. T\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u01b0\u1ee3ng chi ph\u00ed c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 n\u00e0y. Nh\u01b0ng chi ti\u00eau qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a Nga chi\u1ebfm kho\u1ea3ng 6% t\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i, hi\u1ec7n \u1edf m\u1ee9c t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng kho\u1ea3ng 1,5 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4la M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Putin kh\u00f4ng quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed hi\u1ec7n nay, khi \u00f4ng \u1ea5y \u0111ang ng\u1ed3i tr\u00ean kho\u1ea3n ti\u1ec1n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh kho\u1ea3ng 631 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u00f4 la?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Putin coi l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 cao l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n. \u00d4ng ta nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u. \u0110\u1ec3 th\u00edch h\u1ee3p, Nga c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i ch\u1ec9 kho\u1ea3ng 150 t\u1ef7 USD. N\u1ebfu d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef cao qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m m\u1ee9c s\u1ed1ng \u1edf Nga. Putin theo \u0111u\u1ed5i ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft l\u01b0ng bu\u1ed9c b\u1ee5ng c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ee3p l\u00fd v\u1ec1 m\u1eb7t kinh t\u1ebf. \u00d4ng ta \u0111\u00e3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: V\u1eady ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch th\u1eaft l\u01b0ng bu\u1ed9c b\u1ee5ng n\u00e0y mang l\u1ea1i c\u00e1i g\u00ec cho \u00f4ng ta?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Putin t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh kinh t\u1ebf v\u0129 m\u00f4 v\u00ec n\u1ebfu l\u00e0m kh\u00e1c s\u1ebd g\u00e2y nguy hi\u1ec3m cho quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng ta. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao \u00f4ng ta mu\u1ed1n gi\u1eef th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p, m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 qu\u1ed1c gia t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u, ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng 20% \u200b\u200bt\u1ed5ng s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u00f4ng ta sao?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Kh\u00f4ng, Nga kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2014 \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2020. Thu nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea3 d\u1ee5ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 11% trong giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 7 n\u0103m 2021, \u00f4ng ta c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 m\u1ed9t ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ebfn n\u0103m 2030, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn \u200b\u200bkh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n m\u1ee9c s\u1ed1ng trong h\u01a1n m\u01b0\u1eddi n\u0103m. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ebft ra m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng, nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i n\u00f3.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Putin c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Ukraine kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Putin mu\u1ed1n l\u1ea5y l\u1ea1i ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p v\u0169 kh\u00ed. C\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0i n\u0103m, m\u1ed9t c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng Ukraine n\u00f3i v\u1edbi t\u00f4i r\u1eb1ng Ukraine kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a ri\u00eang m\u00ecnh, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a t\u1ed5 h\u1ee3p qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Nga. Ukraine ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00e1c b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1eafp r\u00e1p t\u1ea1i Nga. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc n\u0103m 2014, t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 tr\u1ef1c th\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Nga \u0111\u1ec1u c\u00f3 xu\u1ea5t x\u1ee9 t\u1eeb Ukraine. T\u00ean l\u1eeda \u0111\u01b0a c\u00e1c phi h\u00e0nh gia l\u00ean tr\u1ea1m v\u0169 tr\u1ee5 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u1edf Dnepropetrovsk. C\u00e1c b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn c\u1ee7a h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng S-300 v\u00e0 S-400 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o \u1edf Kharkov. M\u00e1y bay v\u1eadn t\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Antonov, lo\u1ea1i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u1edf Kiev.<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c Putin kh\u00f4ng quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1i gi\u00e1 ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 cho cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn, c\u00f3 \u0111\u00fang th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: Putin kh\u00f4ng quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed chi\u1ebfn tranh, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 nguy hi\u1ec3m. T\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng B\u1ea3o an v\u00e0 trong b\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai, \u00f4ng \u1ea5y d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u v\u00f4 h\u1ed3n. B\u00e0i ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng ta nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y, thi\u1ebfu c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u1ea1ch l\u1ea1c. \u00d4ng ta ng\u1ed3i v\u00e0o b\u00e0n m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n ghi ch\u00e9p n\u00e0o, v\u00e0 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ecdc t\u1eeb m\u00e1y nh\u1eafc ch\u1eef t\u1eeb xa. T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 \u00f4ng ta m\u1eafc ch\u1ee9ng say m\u00ea quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c. \u1ede \u0111\u00e2y t\u00f4i ngh\u0129 ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 so s\u00e1nh Putin v\u1edbi Hitler .<\/p>\n

H\u1ecfi: Cho d\u00f9 c\u00f3 c\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t, ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u1eabn ng\u1ea1i tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t Nga trong l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c d\u1ea7u v\u00e0 kh\u00ed \u0111\u1ed1t, m\u1ed9t ngu\u1ed3n thu r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nga. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m kh\u00f4n ngoan?<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e1p: S\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng hay, khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u1ea5m v\u1eadn m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng m\u00e0 b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u1ea7n d\u00f9ng. Nga s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t 12% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ea7u to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. C\u00e1c l\u1ec7nh tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u1ea7u m\u1ecf s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 s\u00e2u r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ebfn n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

BDN<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a Putin \u1edf Ukraine t\u1ed1n k\u00e9m \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o? Nga c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 s\u00e1p nh\u1eadp Ukraine kh\u00f4ng? Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 chuy\u00ean gia v\u1ec1 Nga Anders Aslund gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn hung h\u0103ng c\u1ee7a Putin. Anders Aslund (70 tu\u1ed5i) l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0110\u1ea1i […]<\/p>\n

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