{"id":4822,"date":"2019-07-24T18:49:10","date_gmt":"2019-07-24T16:49:10","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=4822"},"modified":"2019-07-27T23:21:43","modified_gmt":"2019-07-27T21:21:43","slug":"tieng-viet-cay-muon-lang-gio-chang-dung","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/en\/2019\/07\/24\/tieng-viet-cay-muon-lang-gio-chang-dung\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u00e2y mu\u1ed1n l\u1eb7ng, gi\u00f3 ch\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1eebng"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u00f3ng l\u00ean v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p \u2013 nh\u01b0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c b\u00e3i T\u01b0 Ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a VN trong h\u01a1n hai tu\u1ea7n qua. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a TQ.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n

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T\u00e0u tu\u1ea7n tra c\u1ee7a TQ tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng<\/p>\n

Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u00f3ng l\u00ean t\u1eebng ng\u00e0y. Ngu\u1ed3n c\u01a1n c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng 7 n\u00e0y, TQ cho t\u00e0u th\u0103m d\u00f2 d\u1ea7u kh\u00ed Haiyang Dizhi 8 \u0111i v\u00e0o v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n g\u1ea7n b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n T\u01b0 Ch\u00ednh \u2013 khu v\u1ef1c ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n n\u1eb1m trong v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf 200 h\u1ea3i l\u00fd c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam, \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n c\u00e1i m\u00e0 TQ g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c \u201ckh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ea5n\u201d (?).<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 VN \u2013 qu\u1ed1c gia b\u1ecb x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i, d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ngang ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a TQ. S\u1ef1 l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n, coi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u201cb\u1eaft n\u1ea1t\u201d l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng. C\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia M\u1ef9 John Bolton nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang \u0111e d\u1ecda h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u00e0nh x\u1eed c\u01b0\u1ee1ng b\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1.<\/p>\n

GS Carlyle Thayer (\u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc New South Wales – \u00dac) \u2013 m\u1ed9t chuy\u00ean gia uy t\u00edn v\u1ec1 bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng cho r\u1eb1ng: \u201cTheo UNCLOS, Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t th\u1ee7y v\u0103n, \u0111\u1ecba ch\u1ea5n trong v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, th\u1ec1m l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Vi\u1ec7t Nam cho ph\u00e9p tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi kh\u1ea3o s\u00e1t\u201d.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, \u00f4ng Carlyle Thayer c\u0169ng v\u1ea1ch r\u00f5 \u00e2m m\u01b0u c\u1ee7a TQ l\u00e0 lu\u00f4n t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 Vi\u1ec7t Nam tham gia c\u00e1c li\u00ean doanh v\u1edbi v\u1edbi h\u1ecd, coi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 c\u00e1ch \u0111i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00f2ng, tr\u00e1nh c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u1ec1 quy\u1ec1n t\u00e0i ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u00e0i nguy\u00ean bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1y bi\u1ec3n trong v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1eb7c quy\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, th\u1ec1m l\u1ee5c \u0111\u1ecba c\u1ee7a Vi\u1ec7t Nam.<\/p>\n

V\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c cho th\u1ea5y TQ quy\u1ebft t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u00e0o trongvi\u1ec7c theo \u0111u\u1ed5i m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau tham lam \u0111\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfm bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. V\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c c\u0169ng cho th\u1ea5y, TQ \u00e2m m\u01b0u c\u1ee7a TQ th\u00e2m hi\u1ec3m nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o \u2013 nh\u01b0 GS Carlyle Thayer \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 r\u00f5.<\/p>\n

H\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ngang ng\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u1ee7a TQ, ng\u1eabu nhi\u00ean, tr\u00f9ng v\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi nh\u00ecn l\u1ea1i 3 n\u0103m sau ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a T\u00f2a Tr\u1ecdng t\u00e0i th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c LHQ (PCA) c\u00f3 tr\u1ee5 s\u1edf t\u1ea1i La Haye, H\u00e0 Lan trong v\u1ee5 Philippines ki\u1ec7n TQ.<\/p>\n

Ba n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, ng\u00e0y 12\/7\/2016, PCA \u0111\u01b0a ra ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft, nh\u01b0ng v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Philippines b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2013.<\/p>\n

Philippines ki\u1ec7n TQ trong t\u00ecnh th\u1ebf \u201cc\u00e2y mu\u1ed1n l\u1eb7ng, gi\u00f3 ch\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1eebng\u201d. C\u0169ng nh\u01b0 VN, Philippines lu\u00f4n b\u1ecb TQ b\u1eaft n\u1ea1t. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed9t TQ ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng ngang ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, qu\u00e1 qu\u1eaft, trong th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 so v\u1edbi TQ v\u1ec1 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh, Philippines hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng, bi\u1ebft \u0111\u00e2u, s\u1ef1 l\u00ean ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf s\u1ebd th\u1ee9c t\u1ec9nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t TQ hung h\u0103ng, t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf b\u1edbt tham v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a \u201cng\u01b0\u1eddi h\u00e0ng x\u00f3m kh\u00f3 ch\u1ecbu\u201d.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, ngay t\u1eeb khi v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, gi\u1edbi nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5y l\u1ea1c quan. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc h\u1ebft, h\u1ecd ho\u00e0i nghi li\u1ec7u PCA c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng ?<\/p>\n

Sau n\u1eefa, c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi \u0111\u1eb7t ra l\u00e0: cho d\u00f9 PCA ra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft kh\u00e1ch quan th\u00ec li\u1ec7u, gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 c\u00f3 gi\u00fap g\u00ec cho vi\u1ec7c gi\u1eef bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh ?<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf khi \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n TQ ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng tham gia v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n. V\u1eady n\u00ean, cho d\u00f9 c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u1ea1c quan nh\u1ea5t v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n th\u1eafng thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 Philippines, TQ c\u0169ng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ef1c thi, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia qu\u00e1 hi\u1ec3u c\u00e1ch h\u00e0nh x\u1eed c\u1ee7a TQ l\u00e2u nay.<\/p>\n

TQ lu\u00f4n v\u1ed7 ng\u1ef1c l\u00e0 c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u201ctr\u1ed7i d\u1eady h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh\u201d. TQ lu\u00f4n to ti\u1ebfng \u0111\u1ec1 cao \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ee9c, \u0111\u1ec1 cao ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p. TQ lu\u00f4n la l\u1ed1i r\u1eb1ng, h\u1ecd l\u00e0 n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n, b\u1ecb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n \u1edf bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng,v.v\u2026V\u1eady th\u00ec d\u00f9ng lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e2n x\u1eed th\u00ec l\u00e0 h\u1ee3p l\u00fd c\u00f2n g\u00ec ?<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, khi c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t b\u00ean li\u00ean quan tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp mu\u1ed1n ph\u00e2n s\u1eed tranh ch\u1ea5p, ph\u00e2n x\u1eed ph\u1ea3i\/tr\u00e1i th\u00f4ng qua PCA \u2013 m\u1ed9t t\u00f2a tr\u1ecdng t\u00e0i c\u1ee7a LHQ, th\u00ec h\u1ecd l\u1ea1i t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng tham gia. L\u00fd do kh\u00f4ng tham gia m\u00e0 TQ n\u00eau ch\u1ee7 y\u1ebfu d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean s\u1ef1 di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3i ch\u1ee7 quan \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a UNCLOS n\u00f3i ri\u00eang – m\u00e0 TQ l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean – v\u00e0 lu\u1eadt ph\u00e1p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf n\u00f3i chung theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c, b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c ti\u1ec5n ph\u00e1p l\u00fd v\u00e0 \u00e1n l\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, TQ ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c kh\u0103ng kh\u0103ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1i g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 9 \u0111o\u1ea1n t\u00f9 m\u00f9 \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f2i h\u1ecfi ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 ki\u1ec3u l\u00fd s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a k\u1ebb c\u00f9n.<\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t, vi\u1ec7c t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i kh\u00f4ng tham gia v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n, t\u1ef1 n\u00f3 n\u00f3i l\u00ean r\u1eb1ng: TQ \u0111u\u1ed1i v\u1ec1 l\u00fd. \u0110u\u1ed1i v\u1ec1 l\u00fd n\u00ean TQ th\u1eeba bi\u1ebft, trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u1ea5u ph\u00e1p l\u00fd \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i th\u1eafng.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t khi \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng tham gia v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n, h\u1ecd c\u0169ng b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p d\u01b0 lu\u1eadn qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, ph\u1ee7 nh\u1eadn lu\u00f4n ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a PCA, cho d\u00f9 PCA \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng phu th\u1ee5 l\u00fd v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n trong 3 n\u0103m v\u1edbi s\u1ef1 tham gia c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c lu\u1eadt s\u01b0 c\u00f3 uy t\u00edn, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p vi\u1ec7c c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf, trong \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u1ee7ng h\u1ed9 v\u00e0 cho r\u1eb1ng, ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1c b\u00ean li\u00ean quan tu\u00e2n th\u1ee7 nghi\u00eam t\u00fac.<\/p>\n

Ba n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00f4i qua, c\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed3ng qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u th\u1ea5y ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a PCA kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c TQ th\u1ef1c thi. T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u00f3ng l\u00ean v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p \u2013 nh\u01b0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c b\u00e3i T\u01b0 Ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a VN trong h\u01a1n hai tu\u1ea7n qua – m\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n, ngu\u1ed3n c\u01a1n c\u0169ng l\u00e0 t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a TQ.<\/p>\n

BDN<\/p>\n

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Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c n\u00f3ng l\u00ean v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p \u2013 nh\u01b0 di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c b\u00e3i T\u01b0 Ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a VN trong h\u01a1n hai tu\u1ea7n qua. Nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n c\u1ee7a TQ. T\u00e0u tu\u1ea7n tra c\u1ee7a TQ tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng Bi\u1ec3n […]<\/p>\n

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