{"id":970,"date":"2017-06-09T03:57:31","date_gmt":"2017-06-09T01:57:31","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/?p=970"},"modified":"2017-06-09T03:57:31","modified_gmt":"2017-06-09T01:57:31","slug":"tieng-viet-ve-chien-luoc-vung-khong-phan-dinh-trang-den-cua-trung-quoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/2017\/06\/09\/tieng-viet-ve-chien-luoc-vung-khong-phan-dinh-trang-den-cua-trung-quoc\/","title":{"rendered":"V\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cV\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>9.6.2017<\/p>\n<p><em>Theo th\u1eddi gian, chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u201cb\u1edbt tr\u1eafng th\u00eam \u0111en\u201d, mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p h\u01a1n sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 9 \u0111o\u1ea1n\u201d v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2009. \u201cNgo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ee5 c\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d mang nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u201ctr\u1eafng\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone  wp-image-971\" src=\"http:\/\/east-sea.de\/datei\/uploads\/2017\/06\/holmes_3-300x194.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"434\" height=\"281\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n s\u1ef1 g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n trong \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n. Nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1eef g\u00ecn m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i \u2013 m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 t\u1ef1 do h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n \u2013 th\u1ea5y m\u00ecnh r\u01a1i v\u00e0o t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u00ec trong \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d, nh\u1eefng b\u00ean g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n c\u1ed1 \u00fd kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng gi\u1eefa h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh kh\u00f4ng y\u00ean \u1ed5n v\u00e0 xung \u0111\u1ed9t v\u0169 trang, \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ec7n minh cho m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd ph\u00e1 h\u1ee7y nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng t\u1eebng ch\u00fat m\u1ed9t v\u00e0 thay th\u1ebf n\u00f3 b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng m\u1edbi.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng t\u1eebng ph\u1ea7n bu\u1ed9c nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng ph\u1ea3i xem x\u00e9t c\u00e1c l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4ng h\u1ea5p d\u1eabn. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu tr\u00e1ch nhi\u1ec7m v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh, v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c, v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c khi\u00eau kh\u00edch c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c theo ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a x\u00e9t l\u1ea1i, ho\u1eb7c v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n cho h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. Ho\u1eb7c, kh\u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng g\u00e1nh ch\u1ecbu nh\u1eefng ph\u00ed t\u1ed5n \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e0nh ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ho\u1eb7c c\u00f3 c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u1eeda v\u1eddi. B\u1ecb xui khi\u1ebfn ph\u1ea3i tho\u00e1i th\u00e1c c\u00e1c quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n, c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 lan man v\u00e0 t\u1eeb b\u1ecf th\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng. Ho\u1eb7c h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 leo thang v\u00e0 ch\u1ee9ng ki\u1ebfn n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00ecnh b\u1ecb g\u1eafn m\u00e1c \u201ck\u1ebb b\u1eaft n\u1ea1t\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>M\u1ed9t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t nh\u1eefng t\u00ecnh hu\u1ed1ng ti\u1ebfn tho\u00e1i l\u01b0\u1ee1ng nan nh\u01b0 v\u1eady l\u00ean nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1eef g\u00ecn tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<p>C\u00e1ch ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y khi\u1ebfn ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta li\u00ean t\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a Thomas Schelling qu\u00e1 c\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ee9a con b\u1ea5t tr\u1ecb l\u00e0m nh\u1ee5t d\u1ea7n \u00fd ch\u00ed c\u1ee7a cha m\u1eb9 b\u00ean b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n. Schelling x\u00e1c nh\u1eadn: \u201cB\u1ea3o m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee9a tr\u1ebb kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xu\u1ed1ng bi\u1ec3n, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd ng\u1ed3i b\u00ean b\u1edd, nh\u00fang ch\u00e2n v\u00e0o n\u01b0\u1edbc; n\u00f3 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u2018xu\u1ed1ng\u2019 bi\u1ec3n. Ch\u1ea5p thu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ee9ng d\u1eady, nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn ch\u1ec9 nh\u00fang ch\u00e2n xu\u1ed1ng n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u01b0 c\u0169. Suy ngh\u0129 m\u1ed9t ch\u00fat, v\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u l\u1ed9i n\u01b0\u1edbc, kh\u00f4ng xu\u1ed1ng s\u00e2u h\u01a1n; d\u00e0nh v\u00e0i ph\u00fat \u0111\u1ec3 ngh\u0129 xem li\u1ec7u \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t g\u00ec kh\u00f4ng v\u00e0 n\u00f3 s\u1ebd xu\u1ed1ng s\u00e2u h\u01a1n ch\u00fat n\u1eefa, l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng v\u00ec n\u00f3 \u0111i l\u00ean r\u1ed3i l\u1ea1i \u0111i xu\u1ed1ng n\u00ean nh\u01b0 v\u1eady s\u1ebd b\u00f9 tr\u1eeb cho nhau. Ch\u1eb3ng m\u1ea5y ch\u1ed1c ta ph\u1ea3i g\u1ecdi nh\u1eafc n\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u01a1i xa qu\u00e1, v\u00e0 t\u1ef1 h\u1ecfi k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt c\u1ee7a ta \u0111\u00e3 bi\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u m\u1ea5t r\u1ed3i\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, trong v\u00e0i th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 ngh\u0129 ra m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t m\u01b0u m\u1eb9o \u0111\u1ec3 g\u00e2y b\u1ed1i r\u1ed1i cho nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o, v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng tr\u1eddi. Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn l\u00e0 v\u00f4 th\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00f4 ph\u1ea1t, \u201ctr\u1eafng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111en \u00edt\u201d c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 25 n\u0103m, nh\u01b0ng qua th\u1eddi gian h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u201cb\u1edbt tr\u1eafng th\u00eam \u0111en\u201d m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p khi nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng v\u00e0 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd gia t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 nh\u1ea5t, ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0110\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c (CCP) \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a th\u00e0nh ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt trong n\u01b0\u1edbc tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n v\u1edbi l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 ngo\u00e0i kh\u01a1i v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1992, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1eafm quy\u1ec1n t\u00e0i ph\u00e1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ecba h\u00ecnh b\u1ecb tranh ch\u1ea5p \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n xung quanh. C\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u00e0 ph\u01b0\u01a1ng ti\u1ec7n b\u00e1o ch\u00ed ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y coi di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng \u0111\u01b0a l\u00ean m\u1eb7t b\u00e1o, ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn v\u00ec B\u1eafc Kinh g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c thi lu\u1eadt n\u00e0y. Tuy nhi\u00ean, d\u00f9 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u1eb9, Lu\u1eadt v\u1ec1 l\u00e3nh h\u1ea3i v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng ti\u1ebfp gi\u00e1p n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o n\u00ean m\u1ed9t tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 khoa tr\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u1ec1 \u00fd \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n l\u00e2n c\u1eadn c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n<p>S\u1eafc l\u1ec7nh h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb l\u00e3ng qu\u00ean n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 m\u1edf \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cho s\u1ef1 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u01a1n n\u1eefa th\u1ea9m quy\u1ec1n ph\u00e1p l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi bi\u1ec7n h\u1ed9 cho c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d mang t\u00ednh ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u0103m 2009, ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o CCP \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra m\u1ed9t b\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed3 Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc Li\u00ean h\u1ee3p qu\u1ed1c, tr\u00ean \u0111\u00f3 v\u1ebd m\u1ed9t \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 9 \u0111o\u1ea1n\u201d ph\u00e1c h\u1ecda tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n \u201ckh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tranh c\u00e3i\u201d ho\u1eb7c \u201ckh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u00e1c b\u1ecf\u201d c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 80%-90% v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n n\u00e0y. Sau \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p ph\u00e1n quy\u1ebft c\u1ee7a T\u00f2a Tr\u1ecdng t\u00e0i n\u0103m 2016 b\u00e1c b\u1ecf y\u00eau s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd trong v\u1ee5 ki\u1ec7n gi\u00e0nh ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n. D\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 B\u1eafc Kinh g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u00f2ng trung th\u00e0nh v\u1edbi c\u00e1c cam k\u1ebft m\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 t\u00f9y ti\u1ec7n h\u1ee9a h\u1eb9n \u2013 ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 cam k\u1ebft theo C\u00f4ng \u01b0\u1edbc Li\u00ean h\u1ee3p qu\u1ed1c v\u1ec1 Lu\u1eadt bi\u1ec3n \u2013 khi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a c\u00e1c y\u00eau s\u00e1ch c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh l\u00ean v\u00f9ng tr\u1eddi. N\u0103m 2013, ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ra tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t v\u00f9ng nh\u1eadn d\u1ea1ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng, bao h\u00e0m c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o do Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n v\u00e0 H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd. H\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh quy\u1ec1n \u0111i\u1ec1u ti\u1ebft giao th\u00f4ng h\u00e0ng kh\u00f4ng di chuy\u1ec3n l\u00ean v\u00e0 xu\u1ed1ng v\u00f9ng ven bi\u1ec3n ch\u00e2u \u00c1, song song v\u1edbi b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n, thay v\u00ec giao th\u00f4ng \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t kh\u00f4ng gian \u2013 ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c m\u00e1y bay \u0111\u1ebfn n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Nh\u01b0ng ngay c\u1ea3 \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c thi v\u00f9ng ph\u00f2ng kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch mi\u1ec5n c\u01b0\u1ee1ng &#8211; g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c m\u1ed9t m\u00e1y bay n\u00e9m bom c\u1ee7a Kh\u00f4ng qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 bay t\u1edbi H\u00e0n Qu\u1ed1c. Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c tr\u00ean kh\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u1eabn \u201ctr\u1eafng \u00edt \u0111en nhi\u1ec1u\u201d, d\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc th\u00ec c\u0169ng tr\u00ean b\u00ecnh di\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 hai, \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ee5 c\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c mang nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u201ctr\u1eafng\u201d nh\u1ea5t trong nh\u1eefng vi\u1ec7c li\u1ec1u l\u0129nh \u201ctr\u1eafng nhi\u1ec1u \u0111en \u00edt\u201d. B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1eadp ni\u00ean 2000, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 thi\u1ebft k\u1ebf m\u1ed9t c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n ngo\u1ea1i giao \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c r\u00fat ra t\u1eeb s\u1ee9c thu h\u00fat c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i th\u1eddi c\u1ed5 \u0111\u1ea1i Tr\u1ecbnh H\u00f2a. \u0110\u00f4 \u0111\u1ed1c tri\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ea1i nh\u00e0 Minh n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1ec9 huy m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t \u201cchuy\u1ebfn \u0111i t\u00ecm b\u00e1u v\u1eadt\u201d c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 6 th\u1ebf k\u1ef7, kh\u00f4i ph\u1ee5c h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u1ed1ng n\u1ea1p c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1edf Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c chinh ph\u1ea1t l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5. Gi\u1edbi quan ch\u1ee9c th\u1eddi hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ea1i c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng h\u1ebft s\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea5n an nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u00e2u \u00c1 kh\u00e1c r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd \u0111i theo m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a Tr\u1ecbnh H\u00f2a. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd bi\u1ebfn m\u00ecnh th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ea7y uy l\u1ef1c nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn r\u1ed9ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng. Ng\u01b0\u1eddi ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tin t\u01b0\u1edfng h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng l\u1ea1m d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n<p>T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, ngo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ee5 c\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c duy nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady \u2013 v\u00e0 d\u1eadp t\u1eaft ti\u1ebfng n\u00f3i ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. T\u1edbi cu\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2000, khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c tr\u1edf n\u00ean quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c c\u1eed t\u1ecda khu v\u1ef1c nh\u00ecn chung \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng ti\u1ebfp nh\u1eadn th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p \u00eam d\u1ecbu n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 ba, c\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u201cb\u1edbt tr\u1eafng th\u00eam \u0111en\u201d, mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p h\u01a1n sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 9 \u0111o\u1ea1n\u201d v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2009. Tr\u1ecbnh H\u00f2a \u0111\u00e3 ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c b\u1ecb v\u1ee9t b\u1ecf \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ed7 cho c\u00e1i m\u00e0 c\u00e1c t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 thay v\u00ec gi\u01a1 \u201cc\u00e2y g\u1eady l\u1edbn\u201d l\u00e0 s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o CCP \u0111\u00e3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb \u201cc\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c th\u1ef1c thi lu\u1eadt bi\u1ec3n c\u00f9ng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u00e2n qu\u00e2n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a l\u00ean c\u00e1c t\u00e0u \u0111\u00e1nh c\u00e1. Ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111i\u00eau luy\u1ec7n. \u201cG\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d \u0111\u1ee7 l\u1edbn \u0111\u1ec3 th\u1ecb uy tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c1, c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n, nh\u01b0ng qu\u00e1 nh\u1ecf \u0111\u1ec3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0a h\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n t\u1edbi b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc b\u00e8 b\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c li\u00ean t\u1ee5c qu\u1ea5y r\u1ea7y c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc duy\u00ean h\u1ea3i \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh c\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i c\u1ea3nh v\u00e0 th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 \u0111ang gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t nh\u1eefng v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n m\u00e0 h\u1ecd coi l\u00e0 thu\u1ed9c v\u1ec1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb th\u1eddi xa x\u01b0a. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c nh\u1eb1m d\u1eb9p y\u00ean nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi m\u00e0 h\u1ecd t\u1ef1 coi l\u00e0 x\u00e2m ph\u1ea1m l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u00f5 tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u v\u1edbi H\u1ea3i qu\u00e2n M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0ng mang s\u1eafc th\u00e1i t\u1ed1i h\u01a1n, mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p bu\u1ed9c h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n kh\u00e1c \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1. V\u00e0 ki\u1ec3u nh\u1ecb nguy\u00ean lu\u1eadn \u0111\u00f3 ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n th\u00edch h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n<p>Th\u1ee9 t\u01b0, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t phi\u00ean b\u1ea3n kh\u00e1c c\u1ee7a ngo\u1ea1i giao \u201cc\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d \u1edf bi\u1ec3n Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y k\u00e9m tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u. T\u1eeb kho\u1ea3ng n\u0103m 2010, l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i c\u1ea3nh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c tu\u1ea7n tra th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n xung quanh qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o Senkaku (\u0110i\u1ebfu Ng\u01b0). M\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t h\u00e0nh ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o v\u00e0 v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp gi\u00e1p. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, Tokyo \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ed1 tr\u00ed m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 b\u1edd bi\u1ec3n \u1edf v\u00f9ng l\u00e3nh h\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o n\u00e0y, c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 th\u00eam cho s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chung Trung-Nh\u1eadt l\u1ea1 l\u00f9ng \u1edf v\u00f9ng bi\u1ec3n quanh nh\u1eefng h\u00f2n \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u1ecf n\u00e0y. Hai b\u00ean ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd coi l\u00e0 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n<p>Trong khi Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama v\u00e0 Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Trump \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e1i kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng Hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc an ninh M\u1ef9-Nh\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o Senkaku, bu\u1ed9c Washington ph\u1ea3i gi\u00fap b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 h\u1ecd tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng, chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c bi\u1ec3n Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t ki\u1ec3u nh\u1ecb nguy\u00ean lu\u1eadn nh\u01b0 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. N\u00f3 mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c k\u00edch \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ed1i ph\u00f3 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. Chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng theo h\u01b0\u1edbng c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00e1c chu k\u1ef3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng-ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng mang t\u00ednh leo thang v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n. V\u00e0 n\u00f3 v\u1eabn t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng n\u1ed7i b\u1ea5t an c\u1ee7a Tokyo v\u1ec1 cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 c\u1ee7a Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, mang l\u1ea1i cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u00f2n b\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y. R\u1ea5t c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh n\u00e0y s\u1ebd k\u00e9o d\u00e0i ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o B\u1eafc Kinh ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng gi\u00e0nh gi\u1eadt nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u1ecf n\u00e0y v\u1edbi Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u2013 t\u1ee9c l\u00e0 ch\u1eebng n\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201ckh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0 th\u1ee9 n\u0103m, c\u00e1c th\u1ee7 l\u0129nh c\u1ee7a CCP \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o \u2013 hay c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o s\u1eb5n c\u00f3 \u2013 t\u1ea1o th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. Qua c\u00e1c n\u0103m, vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u1ea3o c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n d\u01b0\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u h\u00ecnh th\u1ee9c kh\u00e1c nhau. Ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n, n\u0103m 1994, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u00e1 V\u00e0nh Kh\u0103n. Ngay sau \u0111\u00f3, h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng tr\u00ecnh, bi\u1ebfn n\u00f3 th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3n qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1998, v\u00e0 m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng n\u00f3 \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ed1 tr\u00ed m\u1ed9t \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u0103ng v\u00e0 c\u00e1c v\u0169 kh\u00ed ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2016.<\/p>\n<p>N\u1ebfu s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i d\u1ea7n d\u1ea7n ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi c\u00e1c m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u1edf \u0111\u00e1 V\u00e0nh Kh\u0103n, th\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f2n th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n s\u1ef1 ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn h\u01a1n n\u1eefa \u1edf b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough. Vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c chi\u1ebfm b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2012 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1nh d\u1ea5u s\u1ef1 chuy\u1ec3n ti\u1ebfp cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng t\u1eeb \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ee5 c\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d sang \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d. C\u00e1c l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng th\u1ef1c thi ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111u\u1ed5i c\u00e1c th\u1ee7y th\u1ee7 Philippines kh\u1ecfi ng\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1eddng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng n\u00e0y, \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t quy\u1ec1n ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi quy\u1ec1n ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o \u0111\u00e1y bi\u1ec3n xung quanh \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 d\u1ef1ng n\u00ean m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3n v\u0169 trang n\u1eefa.<\/p>\n<p>T\u1ea1i sao l\u1ea1i c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf nh\u01b0 v\u1eady? \u0110\u1ecba l\u00fd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00e3 ng\u0103n c\u1ea3n B\u1eafc Kinh h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac \u0111\u1ecba h\u00ecnh b\u1ecb tranh ch\u1ea5p kh\u00e1c, b\u00e3i c\u1ea1n Scarborough n\u1eb1m ch\u00eanh v\u00eanh g\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o Luzon, \u0111\u1ea3o ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Philippines. Ban l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 lo s\u1ee3 l\u00f4i k\u00e9o qu\u00e2n \u0111\u1ed9i M\u1ef9, v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a v\u1ee5 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 Philippines theo m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7p \u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 chung l\u00e2u \u0111\u1eddi, n\u1ebfu h\u1ecd x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ed3n v\u1eefng ch\u1eafc g\u1ea7n v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. Ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb c\u0169ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Philippines \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed n\u0103m 2016 Rodrigo Duterte \u0111\u00e3 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u vi\u1ec7c \u00f4ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng li\u00ean minh v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 trong khi l\u1ea5y l\u00f2ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o CCP c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 coi vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng khi\u00eau kh\u00edch l\u00e0 kh\u00f4n ngoan. T\u1ea1i sao l\u1ea1i khi\u1ebfn cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng minh t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai xa l\u00e1nh?<\/p>\n<p>V\u00e0 cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1edbi quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn v\u00e0 t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 nhanh \u1edf nh\u1eefng n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean c\u00e1c qu\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Sa v\u00e0 Ho\u00e0ng Sa. B\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013, c\u00e1c k\u1ef9 s\u01b0 d\u00e2n d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u00e3 x\u00e2y ph\u1ea7n n\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ea3o t\u1eeb \u0111\u00e1 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o san h\u00f4 r\u1ea3i r\u00e1c tr\u00ean Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Trung Qu\u1ed1c T\u1eadp C\u1eadn B\u00ecnh \u0111\u00e3 cam k\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng \u201cqu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a\u201d c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea3o nh\u00e2n t\u1ea1o, \u0111\u00f3ng b\u0103ng m\u1ecdi ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng nghi\u00eam t\u00fac t\u1eeb ph\u00eda Ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n Obama, ch\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u00e1c s\u00e2n bay v\u00e0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng kh\u00e1c. K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00e3 r\u1ed3i.<\/p>\n<p>Vi\u1ec7c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n k\u1ebb g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n chi\u1ebfm \u0111\u1ea5t l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t chuy\u1ec7n, \u0111u\u1ed5i m\u1ed9t k\u1ebb g\u00e2y h\u1ea5n kh\u1ecfi v\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ea5t m\u00e0 h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 chi\u1ebfm l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 chuy\u1ec7n kh\u00e1c. C\u00e1c chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng \u0111\u1ea3o theo c\u1ea3 3 ki\u1ec3u \u0111\u00e3 gi\u00fap Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1edf h\u1eefu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 &#8211; v\u00e0 kh\u00f3 m\u00e0 t\u01b0\u1edfng t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng s\u1ef1 g\u1eb7t h\u00e1i \u1ea5y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7n t\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn tranh c\u00f4ng khai. V\u1ec1 b\u1ea3n ch\u1ea5t, B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c khu v\u1ef1c v\u00e0 M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i s\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edbi v\u00e0 h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n<p>H\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i h\u00ecnh chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ecdi y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh qu\u1ed1c gia trong c\u00e1c tranh ch\u1ea5p tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n \u1edf bi\u1ec3n Hoa \u0110\u00f4ng v\u00e0 Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng. B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ph\u00e1p l\u00fd, ngo\u1ea1i giao, h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i v\u00e0 v\u1eadt ch\u1ea5t trong ngh\u1ec7 thu\u1eadt qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu d\u1ea7n tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u1ef1 do m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ea7u. Ngay c\u1ea3 s\u1ef1 tinh th\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, v\u1ed1n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u00f9i m\u00e0i trong nhi\u1ec1u th\u1eadp k\u1ef7 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 s\u1edf h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn, c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00f4 tr\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e1ng kinh ng\u1ea1c \u1edf gi\u1eefa Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p v\u00e0o th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n<p>Do v\u1eady, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u1eef g\u00ecn tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n c\u00f3, ch\u1ec9 suy ngh\u0129 v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c kh\u00eda c\u1ea1nh bi\u1ec3n trong chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7. \u0110\u1ec3 c\u1ea3n tr\u1edf nh\u1eefng m\u01b0u m\u1eb9o \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, Washington v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i h\u1ecdc h\u1ecfi B\u1eafc Kinh v\u00e0 theo m\u1ed9t l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u1ed5ng th\u1ec3, mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1edbn, qua \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1eb7t \u00e1p l\u1ef1c ch\u1ed1ng tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ea7y ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn v\u00e0 th\u1eadn tr\u1ecdng l\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn c\u00f9ng m\u1ed9t l\u00fac. T\u00f3m l\u1ea1i, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 nguy\u00ean tr\u1ea1ng ph\u1ea3i t\u01b0 duy b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng s\u1eafc th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a m\u00e0u x\u00e1m v\u00e0 l\u00e0m quen v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf ranh gi\u1edbi m\u1eadp m\u1edd gi\u1eefa h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh v\u00e0 chi\u1ebfn tranh. N\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng l\u00e0m \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, h\u1ecd s\u1ebd nh\u01b0\u1eddng th\u1ebf ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 v\u00e0 c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n<p>Thomas Schelling s\u1ebd g\u1eadt \u0111\u1ea7u m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ea7y th\u1ea5u hi\u1ec3u tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u1eb7t ra cho Washington v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. Kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng b\u1eadc cha m\u1eb9 nhu nh\u01b0\u1ee3c trong c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng, ch\u00fang ta c\u1ea7n t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1ef1 k\u1ef7 lu\u1eadt mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n<p><em>James Holmes l\u00e0 Gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i H\u1ecdc vi\u1ec7n H\u1ea3i chi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9, \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 cu\u1ed1n <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/store\/books\/professional-books-sea-services\/red-star-over-pacific\">Red Star over the Pacific<\/a>. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n quan \u0111i\u1ec3m ri\u00eang c\u1ee7a t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3. Toshi Yoshihara l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Trung t\u00e2m Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u Chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 Ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch, \u00f4ng c\u0169ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00e1c gi\u1ea3 cu\u1ed1n <a href=\"https:\/\/www.usni.org\/store\/books\/professional-books-sea-services\/red-star-over-pacific\">Red Star over the Pacific<\/a>. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean <a href=\"http:\/\/nationalinterest.org\/feature\/five-shades-chinese-gray-zone-strategy-20450?page=show\"><strong>The National Interest<\/strong><\/a>.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Tr\u1ea7n Quang (gt)<\/strong><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_970\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"970\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p>Views: 0<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>9.6.2017 Theo th\u1eddi gian, chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt \u201cv\u00f9ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u00e2n \u0111\u1ecbnh tr\u1eafng \u0111en\u201d \u0111\u00e3 \u0111i theo h\u01b0\u1edbng \u201cb\u1edbt tr\u1eafng th\u00eam \u0111en\u201d, mang t\u00ednh c\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u00e9p h\u01a1n sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u201c\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng 9 \u0111o\u1ea1n\u201d v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2009. \u201cNgo\u1ea1i giao n\u1ee5 c\u01b0\u1eddi\u201d mang nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u201ctr\u1eafng\u201d \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng \u201cngo\u1ea1i giao c\u00e2y g\u1eady nh\u1ecf\u201d. [&hellip;]<\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n<p id=\"pvc_stats_970\" class=\"pvc_stats all  \" data-element-id=\"970\" style=\"\"><i class=\"pvc-stats-icon medium\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><svg aria-hidden=\"true\" focusable=\"false\" data-prefix=\"far\" data-icon=\"chart-bar\" role=\"img\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" viewBox=\"0 0 512 512\" class=\"svg-inline--fa fa-chart-bar fa-w-16 fa-2x\"><path fill=\"currentColor\" d=\"M396.8 352h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V108.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v230.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm-192 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V140.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v198.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zm96 0h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8V204.8c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v134.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8zM496 400H48V80c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16H16C7.16 64 0 71.16 0 80v336c0 17.67 14.33 32 32 32h464c8.84 0 16-7.16 16-16v-16c0-8.84-7.16-16-16-16zm-387.2-48h22.4c6.4 0 12.8-6.4 12.8-12.8v-70.4c0-6.4-6.4-12.8-12.8-12.8h-22.4c-6.4 0-12.8 6.4-12.8 12.8v70.4c0 6.4 6.4 12.8 12.8 12.8z\" class=\"\"><\/path><\/svg><\/i> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"16\" height=\"16\" alt=\"Loading\" src=\"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/wp-content\/plugins\/page-views-count\/ajax-loader-2x.gif\" border=0 \/><\/p>\n<div class=\"pvc_clear\"><\/div>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[97,41],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-970","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-aktuell","category-tu-lieu-nghien-cuu"],"translation":{"provider":"WPGlobus","version":"3.0.2","language":"de","enabled_languages":["vi","en","de"],"languages":{"vi":{"title":true,"content":true,"excerpt":false},"en":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false},"de":{"title":false,"content":false,"excerpt":false}}},"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/970","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=970"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/970\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":972,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/970\/revisions\/972"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=970"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=970"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=970"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}