{"id":17025,"date":"2025-06-03T22:10:18","date_gmt":"2025-06-03T20:10:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/?p=17025"},"modified":"2025-06-05T21:21:14","modified_gmt":"2025-06-05T19:21:14","slug":"shangri-la-ca-lon-khong-de-gi-nuot-ca-be","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/test.east-sea.de\/de\/2025\/06\/03\/shangri-la-ca-lon-khong-de-gi-nuot-ca-be\/","title":{"rendered":"Shangri-La: \u201cc\u00e1 l\u1edbn\u201d kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 g\u00ec nu\u1ed1t \u201cc\u00e1 b\u00e9\u201d"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c sang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u. S\u1ef1 leo thang qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c\u2026 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean trong \u0110\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i Shangri-La l\u1ea7n th\u1ee9 22.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u0110\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 k\u1ebft th\u00fac h\u00f4m 2\/6 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 l\u1ea1i d\u01b0 \u00e2m kh\u00e1 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng. Thay v\u00ec nh\u1eefng c\u00e1i b\u1eaft tay xi\u1ebft ch\u1eb7t l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng g\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1eb7t \u0111\u0103m chi\u00eau, nh\u1eefng c\u00e1i l\u1eafc \u0111\u1ea7u b\u00ed hi\u1ec3m. T\u1ea1i phi\u00ean khai m\u1ea1c \u0110\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ph\u00e1p Emmanuel Macron \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00e1i qu\u00e1t: Th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc nguy c\u01a1 b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t k\u1ef7 nguy\u00ean c\u1ea1nh tranh to\u00e0n di\u1ec7n v\u00e0 thi\u1ebfu ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 ch\u1ea7n ch\u1eeb, \u00f4ng Macron k\u00eau g\u1ecdi x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng m\u1ed9t \u201cm\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t m\u1edbi\u201d gi\u1eefa Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u1ea1i khu v\u1ef1c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng. C\u0169ng trong di\u1ec5n t\u1eeb c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Ph\u00e1p \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ebfn cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn Nga-Ukraine \u0111ang b\u1ebf t\u1eafc trong \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. \u00d4ng \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u01b0u \u00fd nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u00e1ng quan ng\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 gia t\u0103ng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n, c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng m\u1edbi (nh\u01b0 AI v\u00e0 drone qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1), c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nguy c\u01a1 v\u1ec1 ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nguy c\u01a1 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh n\u00f3ng l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1eadt ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 \u201cb\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng gi\u1ea3\u201d. T\u1ea1i c\u00e1c phi\u00ean th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn to\u00e0n th\u1ec3, c\u00e1c l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o 47 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau l\u00ean nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00f3ng: Tham v\u1ecdng m\u1edbi c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 cho an ninh \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng; b\u1ea3o \u0111\u1ea3m s\u1ef1 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh trong m\u1ed9t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi c\u1ea1nh tranh; nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 an ninh m\u1ea1ng, d\u01b0\u1edbi bi\u1ec3n v\u00e0 ngo\u00e0i kh\u00f4ng gian; h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c an ninh h\u00e0ng h\u1ea3i \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 \u2013 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng, \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c an ninh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c,v.v..<\/p>\n\n\n\n

V\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 tranh ch\u1ea5p Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng, c\u00e1c di\u1ec5n gi\u1ea3 kh\u00f4ng ng\u1ea7n ng\u1ea1i ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng, \u0111\u00e2y v\u1eabn l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00f3ng nh\u1ea5t trong khu v\u1ef1c. C\u00e1c v\u1ee5 va ch\u1ea1m gi\u1eefa l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u1ea3i c\u1ea3nh Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 t\u00e0u d\u00e2n s\u1ef1 Philippines trong qu\u00fd I\/2025 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a ch\u1ea5m d\u1ee9t. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng vi ph\u1ea1m ph\u00e1p lu\u1eadt qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ea3i t\u1ea1o v\u00e0 qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a th\u00eam c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 t\u1ea1i Tr\u01b0\u1eddng Sa thu\u1ed9c ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n Vi\u1ec7t Nam. T\u1eeb \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2025, h\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh v\u1ec7 tinh cho th\u1ea5y, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng b\u0103ng, nh\u00e0 ch\u1ee9a m\u00e1y bay v\u00e0 h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng radar t\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e1 Ch\u1eef Th\u1eadp, \u0111\u00e1 V\u00e0nh Kh\u0103n v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e1 Subi. \u0110\u00f3 vi\u1ec7c B\u1eafc Kinh ban h\u00e0nh l\u1ec7nh c\u1ea5m \u0111\u00e1nh b\u1eaft c\u00e1 tr\u00e1i ph\u00e9p (\u00e1p d\u1ee5ng t\u1eeb 1\/5 \u0111\u1ebfn 16\/8\/2025).<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong c\u00e1c phi\u00ean th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u00e0n c\u00e3i nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0: C\u1ea1nh tranh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c M\u1ef9-Trung v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c an ninh. M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 gi\u1ea5u di\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng m\u1edbi v\u1ec1 chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u1ea4n \u0110\u1ed9 D\u01b0\u01a1ng-Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 do v\u00e0 r\u1ed9ng m\u1edf. C\u00f2n B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u1ea1i t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch v\u1eafng m\u1eb7t t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i. Lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ee9t g\u00e3y k\u00eanh \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn nguy c\u01a1 xung \u0111\u1ed9t l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e1ng quan t\u00e2m.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00f3i \u0111i\u1ec1u lo l\u1eafng m\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ea1i bi\u1ec3u mang v\u1ec1 l\u00e0: Nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00e1m m\u00e2y \u0111en tr\u00ean b\u1ea7u tr\u1eddi h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh. Xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c sang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u; s\u1ef1 leo thang qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1eb7t ra y\u00eau c\u1ea7u b\u1ee9c thi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ASEAN, ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm m\u1ecdi c\u00e1ch gi\u1eef vai tr\u00f2 trung gian trong \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ASEAN v\u00e0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam trong vi\u1ec7c duy tr\u00ec c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng gi\u1eefa l\u1ee3i \u00edch qu\u1ed1c gia v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ngo\u1ea1i giao v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c. S\u1ef1 hi\u1ec7n di\u1ec7n m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 quan t\u00e2m \u0111\u1ebfn khu v\u1ef1c khi\u1ebfn \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c gi\u1eef v\u1ecb tr\u00ed chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c trong tr\u1ee5c c\u1ea1nh tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. C\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 ASEAN \u0111ang b\u1ecb chia r\u1ebd, trong khi c\u00e1c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn an ninh ngo\u00e0i kh\u1ed1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1ea5n \u00e1t. C\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng bi\u00ean gi\u1edbi gi\u1eefa Campuchia v\u00e0 Th\u00e1i Lan b\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t sau v\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ed9 g\u1ea7n Chong Bok, khi\u1ebfn quan h\u1ec7 hai n\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u1edf n\u00ean ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p. V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng v\u1eabn l\u00e0 t\u00e2m \u0111i\u1ec3m tranh c\u00e3i, v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc li\u00ean quan t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 h\u00f3a tr\u00ean bi\u1ec3n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y, ASEAN c\u1ea7n t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa tinh th\u1ea7n \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9. C\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh theo nh\u00f3m qu\u1ed1c gia l\u00e1ng gi\u1ec1ng v\u1edbi nhau nh\u1eb1m th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c \u0111a ph\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh vai tr\u00f2 c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t trong vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac an ninh khu v\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00f3 v\u1ebb nh\u01b0 Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111\u00e3 chu\u1ea9n b\u1ecb s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng. Ba y\u00eau c\u1ea7u chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1eb7t ra \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y l\u00e0: M\u1ed9t,<\/em> c\u1ee7ng c\u1ed1 \u0111o\u00e0n k\u1ebft n\u1ed9i kh\u1ed1i ASEAN \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 vai tr\u00f2 trung t\u00e2m, gi\u1eef v\u1eefng l\u1eadp tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u0103ng l\u1ef1c t\u1ef1 v\u1ec7 \u1edf Bi\u1ec3n \u0110\u00f4ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c h\u00e0nh vi l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p th\u00eam t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c th\u1ebf l\u1ef1c b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i; hai,<\/em> c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng quan h\u1ec7 v\u1edbi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c trong khi v\u1eabn duy tr\u00ec ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed9c l\u1eadp, t\u1ef1 ch\u1ee7; ba,<\/em> t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ec3 t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u00f2ng th\u1ee7 m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb cu\u1ed1n v\u00e0o li\u00ean minh qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong khi c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn xoay quanh nh\u1eefng toan t\u00ednh r\u0103n \u0111e v\u00e0 ki\u1ec1m ch\u1ebf l\u1eabn nhau, th\u00ec c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia t\u1ea7m trung c\u1ea7n nh\u1eadn th\u1ee9c r\u00f5 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf vai tr\u00f2 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong vi\u1ec7c ki\u1ebfn t\u1ea1o m\u1ed9t tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 khu v\u1ef1c d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean lu\u1eadt l\u1ec7, t\u00f4n tr\u1ecdng ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n, th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trong th\u1ebf tr\u1eadn chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7n nay, s\u1ee9c m\u1ea1nh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n ch\u1ec9 n\u1eb1m \u1edf vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 b\u00ean n\u00e0o, m\u00e0 l\u00e0 l\u00e0m sao \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u1ecb th\u1ebf ri\u00eang, b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u1ee7 quy\u1ec1n, ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kinh t\u1ebf, v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3ng g\u00f3p v\u00e0o h\u00f2a b\u00ecnh khu v\u1ef1c. Th\u1eddi nay \u201cc\u00e1 l\u1edbn\u201d kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 nu\u1ed1t \u201cc\u00e1 b\u00e9\u201d. Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1ea7m trung ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1o ra \u201cd\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c\u201d ri\u00eang cho m\u00ecnh, mi\u1ec5n l\u00e0 bi\u1ebft m\u00ecnh \u1edf \u0111\u00e2u, mu\u1ed1n g\u00ec v\u00e0 ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m g\u00ec \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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Nh\u1eefng chuy\u1ec3n d\u1ecbch c\u1ee5c b\u1ed9 t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 khu v\u1ef1c \u0111ang c\u00f3 xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u1eeb tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e1i h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c sang \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u. S\u1ef1 leo thang qu\u00e2n s\u1ef1 t\u1ea1i ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u1eeb M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thi\u1ebfu v\u1eafng \u0111\u1ed1i tho\u1ea1i th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa c\u00e1c c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c\u2026 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean trong \u0110\u1ed1i […]<\/p>\n

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